ConnectOne Bank

Competitive Intelligence

Strategic analysis of ConnectOne Bank versus Dime Community Bank, TD Bank, and Valley Bank — covering Q4 2025 financial performance, digital advertising intelligence, and actionable recommendations for 2026.

Key Takeaways — Executive Summary
TL;DR · 3 findings
01

ConnectOne has zero paid digital advertising while every competitor spends aggressively.

TD Bank ran a Super Bowl campaign. Valley actively promotes CD rates on Meta. Dime is growing its paid presence. ConnectOne has no active paid social or search ads — a vulnerability that is also an immediate, addressable opportunity.

02

ConnectOne's NIM expansion (+16 bps in Q4) is the strongest among all four peers.

03

TD's AML consent order and Valley's centennial transition create a 12-month poaching window.

Largest Digital Gap
TD vs. ConnectOne monthly web traffic
NIM Expansion Q4
+16 bps
Strongest among all four peers
TD Active Ads
National
Super Bowl + heavy digital spend
ConnectOne Paid Ads
Zero
Entire digital landscape is open
ConnectOne BankCLIENT
The Relationship-First Commercial Bank

NJ/NY-focused commercial bank with $14B in assets. Relationship-driven model serving middle-market businesses, commercial real estate, and healthcare operators. Q4 2025 NIM of 3.30% — peer best.

Market
NJ / NY Metro
Assets
$14B
Position
Commercial / Relationship
Dime Community Bank
Mid-Transformation Commercial Specialist

Hauppauge, NY-based bank pivoting from retail to commercial banking. Growing healthcare vertical (50% of $500M loan growth). Rebranding to Dime Commercial Bancshares. De novo branch expansion underway.

Market
Long Island / NYC
Assets
$15.2B
Position
Commercial / Specialty
TD Bank
The Scale Player Under Regulatory Pressure

US retail segment of TD Bank Group. $382B in assets, dominant brand, Super Bowl advertiser. Under AML consent order limiting US asset growth. 'More Human' brand platform launched Feb 2026.

Market
National (US East Coast)
Assets
$382B
Position
Enterprise / Retail
Valley Bank
The Growing Middle-Market Powerhouse

$61B NJ/NY commercial bank approaching its 100th anniversary in 2027. Active 'That's How' brand campaign. Record Q4 2025 earnings. Strong C&I and CRE loan growth. Centennial-focused internally.

Market
NJ / NY / FL
Assets
$61B
Position
Commercial / Middle-Market
SEC-01 // Financial Overview

Q4 2025 Performance Metrics

Comparative financial performance across all four banks. ConnectOne Bank delivered the strongest NIM expansion among peers in Q4 2025.

Net Interest Margin (Q4 2025)
ConnectOneDimeTDValley
METRIC
ConnectOne ★
Dime
TD
Valley
Total Assets$14B$15.2B$382B$61B
NIM (Q4 2025)3.3%BEST3.09%3.25%3.17%
ROA (Q4 2025)1.24%1%N/A1.28%
Net Income Q4$42M$47M$520M$195.4M
Core EPS Q4$0.83$0.79N/A$0.33
CET1 Ratio11.5%11.66%13.1%10.8%
Total Deposits$11.5B$13B$350B$52.2B
Total Loans$10.8B$11.5B$177B$50.1B
Sources: Q4 2025 earnings releases — ConnectOne Bancorp (Jan 29, 2026), Dime Community Bancshares (Jan 21, 2026), Valley National Bancorp (Jan 29, 2026), TD Bank Group (Dec 4, 2025). TD figures represent US Retail segment in USD.
SEC-02 // NIM Analysis

Net Interest Margin Trajectory

ConnectOne Bank achieved the strongest NIM expansion among all four peers in 2025, widening 16 basis points in Q4 alone — a signal of superior pricing power and deposit cost discipline.

ConnectOne Advantage
3.30%
Q4 2025 NIM — Peer Best
Q4 expansion+16 bps
Full-year expansion+35 bps
vs. Valley Bank+13 bps
vs. Dime Bank+21 bps
vs. TD Bank+5 bps
NIM Trend — Q1 through Q4 2025
Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 20252.6%2.85%3.1%3.5%
  • ConnectOne
  • TD Bank
  • Valley
  • Dime
Strategic Insight

ConnectOne's NIM leadership is not accidental — it reflects a disciplined approach to relationship-based deposit gathering and loan pricing. With NIM widening 16 basis points in Q4 2025 (the strongest expansion among peers), ConnectOne should actively use this metric in client and investor conversations as proof that relationship banking generates superior economics. The message: "We price relationships, not transactions."

SEC-03 // Digital Presence

Digital & Advertising Footprint

ConnectOne Bank has the smallest digital advertising footprint among all four competitors — representing both a vulnerability and a significant untapped opportunity.

ConnectOneCLIENT
2/10
Digital Presence Score
2
↑ Largest gap = Largest opportunity
Dime
5/10
Digital Presence Score
5
TD
10/10
Digital Presence Score
10
Valley
7/10
Digital Presence Score
7
Digital Channel Breakdown
CHANNEL
CONNECTONE ★
DIME
TD
VALLEY
Monthly Web Traffic50–100K100–200K~16.5M500K–1M
Organic Keywords~5K~15K~897K~50K
Paid SearchMinimalGrowingHeavyActive
Meta / Social AdsNone detectedActive (growing)Active (national scale)Active (CD rates, savings)
Brand CampaignNone activeTransformation story"More Human" — Super Bowl 2026"That's How" + Centennial 2027
LinkedIn PresenceModerateStrongDominantStrong
Digital Opportunity

ConnectOne Bank has zero active paid social advertising while TD Bank runs Super Bowl campaigns, Valley Bank actively promotes CD rates on Meta, and Dime Bank is growing its digital presence. A targeted LinkedIn + Meta campaign reaching NJ/NY CFOs, business owners, and commercial real estate developers could be launched within 60 days with minimal investment relative to the potential commercial banking revenue impact.

SEC-04 // Ad Intelligence

LinkedIn & Meta Ad Analysis

Active campaigns audited via Meta Ad Library and brand press releases. All three competitors are actively running paid campaigns while ConnectOne has no active advertising.

TD BankSuper BowlDigital
HIGH THREAT
More Human
Digital-first banking with a human touch in the AI era
Channel
Super Bowl + Digital
Ad Spend
National (Super Bowl + heavy digital)
Key Messages Detected
  • "More Human" — launched Super Bowl Feb 9, 2026
  • Delivery robot narrative — technology needs human guidance
  • Unified platform across North America
  • Digital-first, people-centered future
Valley BankMetaLinkedInOOH
HIGH THREAT
That's How + Centennial
Middle-market C&I leadership; CD rate promotions
Channel
Meta + LinkedIn + OOH
Ad Spend
Regional (active Meta + LinkedIn)
Key Messages Detected
  • "Don't wait — secure Valley's competitive CD rates now"
  • "Growth on Your Timeline" — CD term flexibility
  • 2nd Annual Middle-Market C&I Survey (thought leadership)
  • Approaching 100th anniversary in 2027
Dime Community BankMetaLinkedIn
MEDIUM THREAT
Commercial Transformation
Business banking pivot; specialty verticals
Channel
Meta + LinkedIn
Ad Spend
Growing (regional)
Key Messages Detected
  • Healthcare banking growth (50% of $500M loan growth)
  • De Novo branch expansion (Lakewood, NJ — March 2026)
  • Lender finance, fund finance, sponsor finance
  • Rebranding to Dime Commercial Bancshares
ConnectOne BankNone detected
OPPORTUNITY
None Active
Relationship banking — no paid digital presence
Channel
None detected
Ad Spend
Minimal/None
Opportunity Notes
  • No active Meta ads detected
  • No Google Ads presence detected
  • Relies on relationship-driven referrals
  • Opportunity: entire digital landscape is open
ConnectOne Counter-Messaging Playbook
COMPETITOR MESSAGEBANKCONNECTONE COUNTER
"More Human" — AI-era banking with a human touch
TD Bank
"We've always been human — no robot needed to explain it. Your banker picks up the phone."
"That's How" — Middle-market C&I leadership
Valley Bank
"At $61B, you're not in the middle — you're a small account. At ConnectOne, you're a priority."
Healthcare specialty banking growth (50% of loan growth)
Dime Bank
"Dime is mid-transformation. We've been serving healthcare operators with stability and speed for years."
"Growth on Your Timeline" — CD rate promotions
Valley Bank
"CD rates are a commodity. We offer a relationship — your banker knows your business by name."
SEC-05 // Competitive Matrix

Capability Scoring Matrix

Ten-point capability assessment across key competitive dimensions. ConnectOne Bank leads in NIM performance and agility — the two most defensible differentiators in commercial banking.

Capability Radar — All Four Banks
Asset SizeNIM PerformanceCredit QualityDigital PresenceBrand AwarenessCommercial BankingAgility / SpeedCapital StrengthDeposit GrowthLoan Growth
  • ConnectOne
  • Dime
  • TD
  • Valley
ConnectOne Competitive Strengths
NIM Performance
ConnectOne leads9/10
Credit Quality
ConnectOne leads8/10
Commercial Banking
ConnectOne leads8/10
Agility / Speed
ConnectOne leads9/10
Capital Strength
ConnectOne leads8/10
Priority Gaps to Address
Asset Size
TD dominant3/10
Digital Presence
TD dominant2/10
Brand Awareness
TD dominant3/10
CATEGORYCONNECTONE ★DIMETDVALLEYNOTE
Asset Size
3
3
10
7
Scale advantage
NIM Performance
9
7
8
7
ConnectOne leads
Credit Quality
8
9
7
7
Dime cleanest
Digital Presence
2
5
10
7
ConnectOne gap
Brand Awareness
3
5
10
8
TD dominant
Commercial Banking
8
7
8
9
Valley leads
Agility / Speed
9
7
3
5
ConnectOne leads
Capital Strength
8
9
9
7
Dime strongest
Deposit Growth
7
8
7
8
Dime/Valley strong
Loan Growth
7
8
3
9
Valley leads
SEC-06 // Pitch Angles

Strategic Pitch Narratives

Specific pitch angles for ConnectOne relationship managers targeting clients of each competitor. Each narrative is grounded in verifiable intelligence.

Target: TD Bank Clients

Your bank is in timeout. We're not.

TD Bank is operating under an AML consent order that limits US asset growth and slows decision-making.

TD's regulatory constraints mean slower approvals, more compliance friction, and less flexibility for your business. ConnectOne offers the same sophisticated commercial banking capabilities — with decisions made locally, not in a compliance queue in Toronto.

Proof Point

ConnectOne Q4 2025: $0.83 operating EPS (beat consensus by 12%), 3.30% NIM, CET1 of 11.5%.

Call to Action

Schedule a 30-minute conversation with a ConnectOne relationship manager.

Target: Valley Bank Middle-Market Clients

You're too important to be a small account at a $61B bank.

Valley is celebrating its centennial and investing in brand campaigns. Middle-market clients may feel the attention shifting.

At $61B in assets, Valley's middle-market clients ($10M–$500M revenue) are increasingly competing for attention with larger institutional relationships. ConnectOne's $14B scale means your business is a priority relationship — not a line item in a portfolio.

Proof Point

ConnectOne average commercial loan size and relationship depth significantly higher than Valley's per-client average.

Call to Action

Let us show you what a true relationship banking experience looks like.

Target: Dime Bank Clients (Healthcare Sector)

Dime is mid-transformation. We've been here all along.

Dime is rebranding, expanding branches, and building new specialty verticals — creating uncertainty for existing clients.

While Dime executes its transformation to 'Dime Commercial Bancshares,' existing clients face relationship manager changes, new credit processes, and strategic uncertainty. ConnectOne has a stable, experienced healthcare banking team with no transformation disruption.

Proof Point

ConnectOne has served NJ/NY healthcare operators, physician groups, and ASCs for years with consistent relationship teams.

Call to Action

Talk to a ConnectOne healthcare banking specialist — no disruption, no rebranding, just results.

Target: Prospects Evaluating All Four Banks

The NIM doesn't lie: relationship banking generates better economics.

ConnectOne's 3.30% NIM in Q4 2025 — the highest among all four peers — is proof of pricing discipline and relationship quality.

When a bank achieves the highest NIM among its peer group, it means clients are choosing to pay for the relationship — not just the rate. ConnectOne's NIM leadership reflects the quality of its deposit relationships, the discipline of its loan pricing, and the trust its clients place in the bank.

Proof Point

Q4 2025: ConnectOne NIM 3.30% (+16 bps QoQ) vs. TD 3.25%, Valley 3.17%, Dime 3.09%.

Call to Action

Experience the difference that relationship banking makes for your business.

SEC-07 // Recommendations

Strategic Recommendations

Eight prioritized recommendations for ConnectOne Bank's 2026 strategy. Each is grounded in specific competitive intelligence gathered from earnings releases, ad library data, and brand research.

Critical Priority — Immediate Action
Intelligence Basis

ConnectOne is the only bank of the four with no active paid social advertising. While TD runs Super Bowl ads and Valley actively promotes CD rates on Meta, ConnectOne has zero digital ad presence. This is both a vulnerability and an opportunity.

Recommended Action

Launch LinkedIn + Meta campaigns targeting CFOs, business owners, and commercial real estate developers in NJ/NY. Lead with the message: 'Banking decisions made by people who know your name.' Counter TD's 'More Human' with actual human relationships — not a robot metaphor.

Q2 2026
Impact:HIGH
Effort:MEDIUM
ConnectOne Bank
Success Metrics
Brand awareness lift in NJ/NY marketCommercial banking lead volumeLinkedIn engagement from target personas
High Priority — Q2–Q3 2026
Medium Priority — 2026 Planning
Executive Summary

ConnectOne's Competitive Position: Strong Foundation, Significant Upside

ConnectOne Bank enters 2026 with the strongest NIM expansion among peers, a clean credit book, and an agile operating model that larger competitors cannot replicate. The primary vulnerability is digital brand invisibility — a gap that is entirely addressable with focused investment. The two most immediate actions are launching a targeted digital brand campaign and deploying relationship managers to actively target frustrated clients of TD Bank and Valley Bank.

Immediate Actions
  • ·Launch LinkedIn + Meta campaign
  • ·Deploy RM team to TD/Valley clients
Q2–Q3 2026
  • ·Healthcare vertical acceleration
  • ·Valley middle-market targeting
  • ·NIM leadership messaging
2026–2027
  • ·Referral partnership program
  • ·Strategic M&A pipeline
  • ·Branch rationalization narrative
SEC-08 // Confidence Log

Data Sources & Confidence Log

All intelligence in this report is grounded in verifiable public sources. Confidence levels reflect data quality and source reliability.

HIGHHigh — Official source or confirmed public data
MEDIUMMedium — Estimated or qualitative assessment
LOWLow — Inference or limited data
DATA POINTSOURCECONFIDENCENOTES
ConnectOne Q4 2025 FinancialsConnectOne Bancorp Press Release, Jan 29, 2026HIGHOfficial earnings release — operating EPS $0.83, NIM 3.30%, CET1 11.5%
Dime Community Bank Q4 2025 FinancialsDime Community Bancshares Press Release, Jan 21, 2026HIGHOfficial earnings release — record Q4 revenues $124M, healthcare loan growth $250M+
Valley National Bancorp Q4 2025 FinancialsValley National Bancorp Press Release, Jan 29, 2026HIGHOfficial earnings release — record quarterly earnings, NIM 3.17%, strong C&I growth
TD Bank US Segment FinancialsTD Bank Group Q4 FY2025 Earnings, Dec 4, 2025MEDIUMUS Retail segment figures in USD; full US bank financials not separately disclosed
TD Bank 'More Human' CampaignTD Bank press release + Super Bowl Feb 9, 2026 broadcastHIGHConfirmed via official press release and public broadcast
Valley Bank 'That's How' Campaign + CD AdsMeta Ad Library + Valley Bank newsroomHIGHActive Meta ads confirmed; CD rate promotions and centennial messaging verified
Dime Bank Meta Ad ActivityMeta Ad Library + Dime Bank press releasesMEDIUMGrowing ad presence confirmed; specific spend levels not publicly disclosed
ConnectOne Bank — No Active Paid AdsMeta Ad Library search (March 2026)HIGHNo active ads found under ConnectOne Bank or connectonebank.com in Meta Ad Library
Dime Rebranding to Dime Commercial BancsharesDime Community Bancshares investor communications, 2025HIGHConfirmed rebrand to reflect commercial banking pivot
TD Bank AML Consent OrderUS Department of Justice / OCC public filings, Oct 2024HIGHPublicly disclosed; limits US asset growth and imposes compliance requirements
Web Traffic EstimatesSimilarWeb estimates (public data, March 2026)MEDIUMTraffic ranges are estimates; exact figures not publicly disclosed by banks
Digital Presence ScoresAnalyst assessment based on Meta Ad Library, SimilarWeb, LinkedInMEDIUMQualitative scoring on 1–10 scale; reflects relative positioning, not absolute metrics
Competitive Matrix ScoresAnalyst assessment based on public financial data and market researchMEDIUMQualitative scoring on 1–10 scale; reflects analyst judgment based on available data
CEO Frank Sorrentino M&A CommentaryBloomberg interview, February 2026HIGHCEO publicly bullish on bank consolidation; specific targets not disclosed
This report is prepared for strategic planning purposes only. All data is sourced from publicly available information. ConnectOne Bank should independently verify all data points before making business decisions based on this analysis. Report date: March 2026.